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LibraryFamily 14 · Population Health & Epidemiology

Heart-failure decompensation early warning from wearables

Under reviewPilotDeveloping evidence

Undergoing in-depth clinical, technical and governance review.

Combines wearable vital-sign trends and patient-reported symptoms to flag likely decompensation 3–7 days before clinical presentation, prompting community-nurse contact.

Plain-language summary

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Clinical context
Clinical problem
Monitor a patient's status
Point of care
Follow-up
Nature of AI output
An alert
Clinical specialty
Cardiology
Care setting
Home / remote
Patient population
Adults with chronic heart failure enrolled in a remote-monitoring programme.
Intended use
Combines wearable vital-sign trends and patient-reported symptoms to flag likely decompensation 3–7 days before clinical presentation, prompting community-nurse contact.
Technology
AI technique
Classical machine learning, Statistical model
Input data
Vital signs, Patient-reported data, Waveforms (ECG, EEG…)
Output type
Alert
Autonomy level
Informs a human (advisory)
Model provenance
Built in-house
Model version
hf-1.0
Built on a general-purpose model
No
Deployment
Status
Pilot
Country
Netherlands
Deployment date
15 February 2025
Sites
1
Regulatory & governance
EU AI Act risk tier
High-risk
High-risk basis
Annex III use case
Medical device
No
EU MDR class
Not a device
CE marking
Not required
FDA status
Not applicable
ISO 14971 risk class
Medium
GDPR processing basis
Public interest
GDPR DPIA
Completed
Data identifiability
Pseudonymised
Explainability method
Intrinsic
Human oversight model
A community nurse contacts the patient on every amber alert; the AI never escalates to hospital without a human.
NICE evidence standards
ESF tier
Tier B — inform / monitor
Evidence category
Category 2
Performance summary
Headline metric
Sensitivity
Value
0.79
Subgroup performance assessed
Yes
Known bias signals
Higher false-positive rate for atrial-fibrillation patients; under recalibration.

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Safety signals
Post-deployment concerns flagged by clinicians, patients or monitoring (proposal §3.7). High or critical signals re-enter a validated use case into maturation automatically.
  • Patient reports too many amber alerts during exercise; threshold under review.

    Raised 17 May 2026, 21:01

    LowOpen

Evidence records

Studies and evaluations attached to this use case.

  • Prospective observational

    Sensitivity: 0.74

    Population: Prospective pilot, 250 patients

    Subgroup: AF subgroup

  • Retrospective validation

    Sensitivity: 0.79

    Population: Remote-monitoring HF cohort, 700 patients

Contributors

Deploying organisation
[demo] Erasmus MC · Hospital / health system · Netherlands
AI vendor
Product name